Thursday, May 7, 2020

FIGHTING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC IN KENYA – AN OPINION

CONTEXT
The Government of Kenya faces an unprecedented crisis for which it has instituted certain non pharmaceutical measures to respond, in order to secure its population. Since 29th January 2020, when the WHO Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus declared the 2019-nCoV outbreak a public health emergency of international concern, countries started rolling out evolving strategies to curb the pandemic’s ravaging consequences in a fluid and fast paced environment.  Even the most advanced economies are learning as the pandemic evolves. The Institute of Business Forecasting and Planning predicts that although total accumulated cases in the USA currently stand at 1,208,904 with total accumulated deaths at 69,458, by July these figures would rise to a total accumulated caseload of 1,830,796 and total accumulated deaths of 94,194[i]. Upon the WHO declaration, on 11 March 2020, of 2019-nCoV as a pandemic, Kenya’s Cabinet Secretary for Health (Health CS) declared COVID-19 a notifiable disease vide Gazette Notice No. 2787 of 2020 and subsequently, declared it a formidable epidemic vide Legal Notice No. 37 of 2020 in exercise of powers conferred by Public Health Act.
OPPORTUNITIES
On the one hand, Health issues have taken center stage in Kenya and forced the conversation on weak health systems and poor investment in health - despite Health System Strengthening programs -  into the limelight. COVID-19 should leave Kenya with more medical staff hired plus expansion of hospital capacity as counties scramble to prepare for the pandemic.  The Kenya Health Federation[ii] - which is the health sector board representing of the Kenya Private Sector Alliance (KEPSA) has risen to the occasion to influence public policy and bridge the gap left by the public sector. Medical personnel of Kenyan origin from across the globe have rallied together through virtual platforms to exchange solutions on case management. COVID-19 should also create a hub for innovation at the local level with citizens seeking local solutions for local problems in the absence of external support. The interruption of global supply chains has provided impetus for the revival of two cotton/garment factories to manufacture & supply PPE & clothes in line with the Government’s Big 4 agenda that promotes industrialization as one of its pillars[iii].  Of note is that revival of such factories quickly boosts the agricultural sub-sector for cotton farming. It has also become evident that the alcohol/ethanol industry can produce large volumes of hand sanitizers that are always in demand in hospital situations.  Following an initial impasse, the Kenya Revenue Authority has allowed the previously defunct Mumias Sugar Company to manufacture ethanol under bonded arrangement.  An over reliance on South Africa & India for treatment of many health conditions (and donors for solutions) & importation of used apparel have always been seen as poor policy choices as these can be provided for locally with a positive impact on the economy. Lastly, Kenya has continued to export vegetables and flowers to its major markets throughout the pandemic to earn much needed foreign exchange and keep jobs in the agricultural sector despite the lockdown.
STRATEGY
Challenges are apparent with the GoK facing an increasingly restless population that is either unable or unwilling to comply with the various legislative orders put in place, due principally to economic considerations.  Critics have pointed to the GoK’s lack of foresight in its handling of the pandemic and a severance of the social contract between the Government and its citizens[iv].  Kenya’s saving grace is that COVID-19 has heretofore spared it the worst of the pandemic which would have been disastrous for a country with a fragile health system. However, having studied the COVID-19 pattern in harder hit countries, a second and third wave seems likely, if not probable. Of note is that, countries such as Nigeria & Germany reported an increase of COVID-19 cases the day their Governments relaxed measures.  The GoK lacks a coherent strategy expected to clearly stipulate emergency preparedness, risk assessment, epidemic management, monitoring & case management, making it reactive rather than proactive. Many of these principles can be gleaned from the Ebola & HIV crises of years gone by and extend beyond the ambit of the Ministry of Health at the National Level.
STIGMATISATION
It was obvious that the stigmatization of patients of COVID-19 would be the country’s Achille’s heel. The hurried internment, in the deep of the night of a 59-year-old man in Western Kenya who allegedly succumbed to COVID-19 – without the dignity of a prayer or a coffin - was touted as “barbaric” by most Kenyans[v].  That none of the family members subsequently tested positive for COVID-19 after an 18-day mandatory quarantine exacerbated the level of distrust, with many questioning whether indeed the deceased had succumbed to the dreaded disease. Interestingly, the county health officials were seen to have gone against the already laid out Ministry of Health procedures for burial during this period. The Senate Committee belatedly instructed the Ministry of Health to roll out robust programs for county health teams on guidelines & protocols for handling of a person who had died of COVID and address the associated stigma with coming into contact or having a family member die from COVID. The International Committee of the Red Cross addresses this challenge to ensure that those who have passed away during COVID-19 are properly handed in a dignified manner[vi]
COMMERCIALISATION
The quarantine procedure in Kenya has been grossly mismanaged and is regarded as callous and fraudulent. Those affected have complained of excessive hostel payments, secrecy around test results and lack of psychosocial support during the quarantine period. The unsanitary conditions in quarantine facilities render those facilities as vectors for the coronavirus and/or other pathogens[vii].  Whereas the WHO has advised that the “backbone” of the response is “isolation, testing and tracing”, the GoK now finds itself in a catch 22 situation where sections of the population refuse to present themselves for voluntary testing for fear of being isolated and their loved ones quarantined.  A frustrated governor from a coastal county complained about the lack of utilization of voluntary testing services put in place despite assurances. The Health CS further decried the abnormally low frequentation of hospital services for routine services including for immunization & maternal and child health. Most disturbing are expectant women unable to access maternity services or losing lives during labor for fear of “breaking curfew rules”.  Stable cancer, heart, hypertension and diabetes patients caught on one side of the boundary have been unable to access specialized services at referral hospitals. Following allegations of commercialization of the quarantine effort, on 6th May 2020, the Health CS recapitulated and indicated that the GoK would henceforth meet the costs for the testing and of mandatory quarantine as required under the Public Health Act.
MILITARIZATION
The UN office for Human Rights has voiced concerns on police brutality during lockdowns and singled out Kenya as one of the offending countries.[viii] Militarization of the pandemic response has led to resistance as victims allege various acts of criminalization.  It is noteworthy that more people have succumbed to police brutality during this period, as the police enforce curfew restrictions, than those who have died from COVID-19. The brutality of the Kenyan police includes but is not limited to forced quarantine for breaking curfew, open harassment for not wearing face masks and bludgeoning dissenting citizens to death[ix]. This further aggravates the distrust within a populace already on edge with social media awash with videos of people escaping from quarantine facilities or bribing their way out of them.
GOVERNANCE
A presentation to parliament by the Permanent Secretary for Health (“Health PS”) on COVID funds threatened to derail the fight against the pandemic. While the government struggles to make up for plummeting revenues by seeking assistance from donors, it was not lost to the population that the funding received included in part, utilization of KES 4m for tea & snacks, KES 70m on communication & airtime and KES 42m on leasing of ambulances which was considered wasteful and insensitive to the crisis.[x] This led to allegations that the GoK was padding up infection numbers to attract funds from donors concerned about global health security.  In response to accountability concerns, the Health PS, on 5th May 2020 retracted the report without providing further assurances that funds were being spent for purposes intended leading pundits to point to a looming scandal around the COVID funds.
ECONOMIC IMPACT

Economic considerations have impacted how the population has reacted to the raft of measures set out by the GoK to contain the pandemic. Whereas many rich countries have provided unemployment benefits and allied packages to those whose incomes have been affected, this is unthinkable for low-income countries with neither the fiscal space nor the contingency funds to face any crisis given reliance on the daily collection of revenue. In this crisis, the GoK was caught flat footed as many tax paying businesses were closed. Without appropriate safety nets, the general populace is unable to adhere to “stay at home” orders as they must fend for their families[xi]. In addition, newspapers are replete with tenant/landlord disputes as tenants agitate for a three-month moratorium on rent payments during the COVID-19 period.  Many organizations have ignored the Government’s request to have employees work from home since no voluntary rescue measures are available and some organizations have issued redundancy notices which further threatens source of livelihoods. In the education sector, the e-learning proposals[xii] have also raised questions around access & equity with rural and poor students disadvantaged as a result of a previous aborted government strategy to provide laptops to all learners.
LABOUR ISSUES
Due to a global shortage not limited to Kenya[xiii], the GoK has been unable to deliver on critical promises such as provision of Personal Protective Equipment & recruitment of adequate health personnel. The WHO highlights that an estimated 89 million medical masks, 76 million examination gloves & 1.6m googles are required for the COVID-19 response each month.[xiv].  The global shortage notwithstanding, it is unclear how the donations from the Jack Ma foundation were distributed since County Hospitals still complain of a lack of PPE with health workers refusing to attend to patients. But the solution is not "more PPE" but a rational use of PPE for COVID-19 as per the WHO interim guidance for the use of PPE[xv]. This – lack of protective equipment - adds to a simmering situation where the number of health personnel per 100,000 people is significantly below the WHO requirements due in part to a desire to contain the wage bill and the lack of a Health Service Commission.  To address the staff shortage, on 3rd April 2020, the GoK advertised up to 5,000 vacancies for various health care workers for hospitals around the country. As at the time of writing this article, none of these workers had yet to arrive at the county facilities where they are most needed. It will be a gigantic challenge to ensure that they are recruited, trained and prepared to face the COVID-19 pandemic should the pandemic evolve.Whereas essential workers on the front lines of this crisis are deserving of premium/hazard pay and protections that keep them safe, the Government of Kenya is faced with a disillusioned workforce where the unions & societies representing medical personnel have recently issued a 14-day notice to strike citing unfavorable working conditions[xvi].   A PR gimmick by the GoK to send flowers to UK medical personnel on 30th April 2020 was not without its critics within the medical sector given local challenges. To address this imminent threat, the GoK on 6th May 2020 announced a KES 3bn “COVID allowance” to recompense all health workers.
FRAGILITY
The pandemic comes at a bad time for the GoK which is yet to address the pending structural issues arising from the devolution of health[xvii] under the 2010 constitution. Whereas, other countries have also faced similar challenges, Kenya’s Health System has less than 200 critical care beds for a population of 47 million people[xviii].  A recent death – unrelated to COVID – at the largest hospital in East and Central Africa, Kenyatta National Hospital with a bed capacity of 2000 and 36 critical care beds brought to the fore the challenges faced by doctors in triaging access to critical care[xix]. The claim by the Health CS that Kenya had a 1000 critical care bed capacity was challenged by the Kenya Health Federation who also demonstrated that some counties had none. It goes without saying that there is more to critical care capacity than beds.
PRIORITIZATION
Whereas the most topical issue is COVID-19, Kenyans are faced with other significant challenges such as a locust invasion that threatens crops, damage to road infrastructure, flash floods that lead to displacements, mud slides that threaten livelihoods, cholera which has never been contained and the threat of a looming famine of “biblical proportions”. The government recently announced that it had nil maize strategic reserves should the coronavirus extend beyond a three-month period.[xx]  According to initial estimates, floods and mudslides have killed nearly 200 people and displaced more than 100,000 [xxi] whearas only 30 have succumbed to the pandemic.  The early morning eviction of over 5,000 families in one of the settlements in Nairobi, [xxii] despite a court order, lead residents to claim that the coronavirus was a hoax as the government would not have proceeded with an eviction in the middle of a pandemic. The national opprobrium was based on the fact that it would be quasi impossible to seek alternative shelter due to curfew hours and lockdown between geographical boundaries. (Kenyans last line of action is to relocate to rural homes when faced with a crisis in the city). Faced with floods, mudslides, evictions and the Holy Month of Ramadhan, social distancing which itself is an alien & elitist concept for families in crowded settlements takes a back seat. How does one social distance in the myriad of informal or densely populated settlements that are an integral part of Kenya’s skylines? Although washing hands is a solution for the pandemic, how are citizens expected to comply when running water is unavailable most days of the week? On 8th May 2020, the Nairobi City Water & Sewerage Company issued a notice stating inter-alia that it had shut down water treatment at Sasumua Dam treatment works which supplies 11.6% of Water to the Nairobi City County population. This was occasioned by a massive landslide in the Aberdare ranges[xxiii].
CONCLUSION
However, all is not lost and the GoK can overcome its structural challenges to not only fight the pandemic but also undertake long term policy positions that will enable it recover from an adverse post-COVID-19 impact. To succeed, Kenya in particular and Africa more broadly, should not waste this crisis, but must endeavour to approach this pandemic from a multisectoral lens. Using the Africa Union & Africa CDC, Kenya must push for African states to overcome barriers to regional production and reduce reliance on foreign solutions given that, in a global scenario, Kenya (and other LICs) will always be at the bottom of the pecking order. It is not lost to Africans that although Cote D'Ivoire, is the world's 7th largest producer of natural rubber, latex gloves are imported as the capacity to transform natural rubber into finished or semi-finished products has never been developed.  By understanding the psycho-sociological determinants of human behavior and making an effort to demilitarize, decommercialize and destigmatize the response to COVID-19, Kenya will come out stronger. Beyond simply a medical response, the GoK must look to the plethora of professionals at its disposal - both at home and abroad - to define acceptable policy solutions to address what is Kenya’s largest challenge since independence in 1963.

Other Contributions 
Dr Akwabi Wameyo , MBChB, MMed
Ms Amunga Wameyo, BComm, MBA, CPA(K)

Mr Hillary Wameyo, BSc, MBA, CPA(K)
Ms Olivia Wameyo, LLB, LLM
Mr Ted Malumbe, BA, MSc

Mrs Joyce Wameyo









[ii] http://khf.co.ke/


[iv] A Social Contract, in political philosophy is an actual or hypothetical compact, between the ruled and their rulers, defining the rights and duties of each.  In an ideal situation, the ruled have a fundamental belief that the ruler acts in the best interests of the collective. 































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